Tuesday, September 23, 2014

The Ebola epidemic could be over by January — or worse than ever


A fast, decisive response by the medical community could end the Ebola epidemic in January, says Tom Frieden, the director of the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. That's the best-case scenario. The worst case scenario is 1.5 million people infected in Sierra Leone and Liberia by January. Guinea wasn't included in the estimate because the cases there have varied in ways that can't be reliably modeled.


To end the epidemic in January, about 70 percent of people who are infected need to be treated at an Ebola treatment facility or at home to reduce disease transmission, according to CDC data. Right now, only 18 percent of Liberian patients and 40 percent of those in Sierra Leone are receiving that kind of care.


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